How the DA can win ward 2

Laat ek dit nou stap vir stap verduidelik… Soos die Leeuloop

News with intent!

Your advertising is only as good as the people who see it – repeatedly! You want to do business with OO readers – people with money and control of corporate budgets. Click here


Click here for an invitation to subscribe to urbi

Oudtshoorn. 17 October 2012. 21h30. The government of the day is most always at a disadvantage in a by-election.

That is because people can vote without considering the advantages or disadvantages of a change of government. It’s not such a big deal as is a general election. That is also, by the way, why fewer people by and large, vote in a by-election than the number voting in a general election.

A by-election is a safe way to show dissent – and everybody needs to show some dissent from time to time.

A by-election is like a laboratory test. An event that, even if it goes horribly wrong, does not have the pith to really change the satus quo.

Bitou Ward 2 in Plettenberg Bay on December 5, 2012, will be different.

Here’s why:

18 May 2011 was a choice between the anti-Zuma and the anti-Zille factions in South Africa. “Discerning” voters, as opposed to “obtuse” ones living in Boksburg or Seshego, voted either to keep Zille, or Zuma, at bay.

In Ward 2 in Bitou, some 18 months ago, 2,837 out of 2,981 people voted to ensure that not all wards go to the ANC. The ANC got only 95 votes in ward 2. Only 95. 95 only. 95.

The DA “saved” 2 wards (1 and 2) from the clutches of the ANC. The ANC took the other 5. The DA showing secured 4 proportional seats against the ANC’s 1 and Cope got the balance of power on the back of a measly 356 votes: 6-6-1 became 6-7 for the DA.

At this time many people in Ward 2 are at least somewhat disillusioned with the ruling DA/Cope coalition. They would have been disenchanted even if the DA ruled perfectly – which no party or individual can do in any event. It’s just the way people are; they want to ‘show” those in power. And a by-election, as I have said, is the ideal opportunity to show that dissent.

With one of several aspirants to be installed as the independent candidate next week, and the brave “recall” option the talk of political commentators already, the DA’s current offering is pretty much Bonnistein to the Independent Moët.

And so the strong Nat residual within the DA is taking a leaf out of PW’s text book: If all else fails, and it has… Scare the living daylights out of them.

Rooi gevaar; swart gevaar; Chuck Norris op tik; ANC-oorheersing; noem maar op: Stem veilig!

Now if I was managing the DA campaign – there’s a vivid thought – I would do everything possible to convince the ANC to stand in Ward 2.

Right now a vote for an independent candidate is a safe option, responsible as it is nontheless. The expectation is that any of the front runners – Francois Geldenhuys and Johann Brummer – will be an exciting option; a sexy option; an option that shows the “Ward two-ers” are forward thinking “metropolitists”. Independent is an easy sell at this time. Especially as some dreary die hard DA’s are bemoaning the “irresponsibility” of a vote for anything but the DA. Remember, people need to “show” those in power.

However… it all changes from vanilla to red hot chili if the ANC enters the race. The excitement of change will be traded for the tedium of safety: DA, to keep the ANC in check, rather than Independent to give Plett wings.

The ANC wants to enter the race. Because the DA enters all races and the ANC is wanting to show muscle.

I am pretty certain that the ANC is aware of the negative impact of participation – hell, I discussed it with a Luthuli Houser on Sunday.

But I suspect that the DA is lobbying the ANC to enter. Directly, or by reverse, reverse psychology.

And knowing the DA “Deputy” Leader as I do, to be a seasoned and resourceful campaigner, I fully expect the DA’s alternative, ANC, candidate to be a chief executive type, with impeccable credentials… A chimera that will terrify even the most discriminating ward two-er!

The “Deputy” Leader will have the ANC swallow this meesterplan hook line and sinker: The ANC gets to show intent; the DA gets to beat up on the ANC… And scare voters away from the Independent for an innings victory.

Whatever happens, I can only trust to the savvy of the Ward two-ers: The ANC has no chance in Ward 2. The ANC got 95 votes in May last year.

Don’t be fooled, people of Ward 2. The chance that the DA is behind an ANC candidate entering the race in Ward 2 is a very, very real possibility.

Wakker slaap!

Click here to receive updates.

Advertise on OO!

Click here to return to the title page.


14 thoughts on “How the DA can win ward 2

  1. willempie ,dit is vinger en nie finger nie,of praat ek nou met villempie?

  2. “Wakkerslaap.” Dit is goeie raad Mnr OO. As jy mooi kyk gaan jy sien dat die ANC reeds ‘n kandidaat in hierdie resies het. Die ANC se prokureur, die besigheidskamer en een of twee ander bekende ANC ondersteuners se finger afdrukke is orals. Wakkerslaap my maat. Die manne maak moves om verlore voordele en invloed te herwin.

  3. Bullshit. As I told you, it is going to be a very interesting time in Bitou. Modern Politics is “Business”, opinions are expressed as adds and have been “Addressed and alligned” by the spin doctors. What’s New??
    Things have changed, for the best or the worse I don’t know. But lets all work very hard to ensure that every resident in Bitou is getting his/her fair share.

  4. Thank you for that Keith…He is a spin doctor, just not for the ANC or the DA.

  5. Ed: please be careful not to reveal to the ÀNC or the DA that you actually UNDERSTAND politics…..they may poach you to replace their current spin doctors!

  6. Dear Lol….have you read this? “The expectation is that any of the front runners – Francois Geldenhuys and Johann Brummer – will be an exciting option; a sexy option; an option that shows the “Ward two-ers” are forward thinking “metropolitists”.” I don’t care if you don’t buy into the DA, the municipality or the new councilor. Just consider the motive/author/slant of the above article. It reads like an ad….not an opinion.

  7. Hi Bullshit. The last election did show that the DA understands Elections and the numbers. The ANC won most of the Wards, but it was the voters % that gave the DA the victory (With COPE!!). They made sure that every DA supporter made it to the ballot box. But 25% did not vote in ward 2!!!! If I was the DA I would “Challenge” the ANC to “Field” a candidate and I would also “Field” 0ne or Two “Independents” to stand to split the Independent vote. Ward 2 Voters should only recognize an Independent who is/was willing to be scretenized and was “Elected” by the Ward 2 voters. DON”T BE FOOLED, as some Independents will not be Independent at all and are just partisipating (Under orders) to split the Independent vote and hand the victory to the “Fresh OFFTheHook & Fishy” new DA candidate who was far to busy to attend (And get to know his voters!!) the last DA meeting last Monday. It is going to be a very interesting time for Bitou.

  8. Ed are you for real? “:But I suspect that the DA is lobbying the ANC to enter. Directly, or by reverse, reverse psychology.” Here is a bit of reverse reverse insinuation for you. The moon landing was staged and the Queen of England is the head of the Illuminati. Seriously? You lips move but I cannot believe your words are hitting this site. On who’s behalve do you write? Its a rhetoric question.

  9. Ok Ed, but publish at least a couple of her pics then to soften the blow that she’s not standing..

  10. Do you know what, I’m still going independent here, I dont care if the ANC puts in Minki van der Westhuizen as their candidate, I’m voting Independent and that’s it!

  11. I’m trying my utmost best to be as clever and smart as Mr. Colin Bell here but I’m struggling to understand this? So the DA will try and bullshit the ANC to put up a candidate to challenge Brummer, and then divide the vote? I don’t think so OO, not even the DA are that clever and not even the ANC that stupid; or am I missing something here?

  12. Well spotted OO, However you under estimate the ANC, they want/need a independent, just as much as You or I. Remember much of the old ANC guard has been removed from here, it’s a new ballgame now.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s